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Epidemiologia e Serviços de Saúde
versão impressa ISSN 1679-4974versão On-line ISSN 2237-9622
Resumo
SILVA, Vanessa Rodrigues da et al. Temporal trend of COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates and their relationship with socioeconomic indicators in the state of Piauí, Brazil: an ecological study, 2020-2021. Epidemiol. Serv. Saúde [online]. 2022, vol.31, n.2, e20211150. Epub 05-Set-2022. ISSN 1679-4974. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/s2237-96222022000200022.
Objective:
To analyze the temporal trend of COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates and their relationship with socioeconomic indicators.
Methods:
This was an ecological time series study of COVID-19 cases/deaths in municipalities in Piauí, Brazil, between March, 2020 and May, 2021. Prais-Winsten linear regression model and Spearman’s correlation test were used.
Results:
There were 271,228 cases and 5,888 deaths in the period. There was a rising trend in COVID-19 incidence rate, while the mortality trend was stable. The spatio-temporal analyses showed higher incidence/mortality in the second and fifth quarters of the period. There was no statistically significant correlation between COVID-19 and the Social Vulnerability Index (IVS). Significant correlations between the Municipal Human Development Index (IDHM) and COVID-19 incidence (p-value < 0.001) and mortality rates (p-value < 0.001) were found.
Conclusion:
There was a rising trend in COVID-19 incidence and stability in COVID-19 mortality. Correlation between the MHDI and these two indicators was moderate and weak, respectively, demanding public service management decisions aimed at improving the population’s quality of life.
Palavras-chave : Vulnerability Analysis; COVID-19; Time Series Studies; Health Inequality Indicators; Epidemiological Monitoring.