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Epidemiologia e Serviços de Saúde
versão impressa ISSN 1679-4974versão On-line ISSN 2237-9622
Resumo
NICOLATO, Fernanda Vieira et al. Space-time distribution of urinary incontinence outpatient production in men, Brazil, 2010-2019. Epidemiol. Serv. Saúde [online]. 2022, vol.31, n.2, e20211257. Epub 05-Set-2022. ISSN 1679-4974. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/s2237-96222022000200025.
Objetive:
To estimate the temporal trend and spatial distribution of urinary incontinence outpatient production in men in Brazil.
Methods:
This was an ecological time series study of Brazil and its regions, from 2010-2019, using data from the Brazilian National Health System Outpatient Information System. Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze the temporal trend in Brazil as a whole and by region. The autoregressive integrated moving average model was used to forecast the trend until 2024.
Results:
In 2010, 3,457 outpatient appointments for urinary incontinence in men were registered, rising to 16,765 in 2019, revealing a rising temporal trend [annual percentage change = 50.37%; 95% confidence interval (95%IC) 37.54;63.62]; and a forecast of growth for the period 2020-2024 (final ARIMA model: 1, 1, 0). The spatial distribution of urinary incontinence rates varied between the country’s macro-regions.
Conclusion:
There was a rising temporal trend in urinary incontinence outpatient production in men in Brazil between 2010-2019 with growth forecast until 2024. The highest rates occurred in the Southeast region and the highest increase was found in the Southern region.
Palavras-chave : Urinary Incontinence; Men’s Health; Time Series Studies; Geographic Mapping.