<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1679-4974</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Epidemiologia e Serviços de Saúde]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Epidemiol. Serv. Saúde]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1679-4974</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde e Ambiente - Ministério da Saúde do Brasil]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1679-49742019000100016</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5123/s1679-49742019000100009</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Incidência da leptospirose em uma capital da Amazônia Ocidental brasileira e sua relação com a variabilidade climática e ambiental, entre os anos de 2008 e 2013]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Incidencia de la leptospirosis en una capital de la Amazonía Occidental brasileña y su relación con la variabilidad climática y ambiental, entre los años 2008 y 2013]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Leptospirosis incidence in a state capital in the Western Brazilian Amazon and its relationship with climate and environmental variability, 2008-2013]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Duarte]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Juliana Lúcia]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Giatti]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Leandro Luiz]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade de São Paulo Faculdade de Saúde Pública ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[São Paulo SP]]></addr-line>
<country>Brazil</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>28</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.iec.gov.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1679-49742019000100016&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.iec.gov.br/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1679-49742019000100016&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.iec.gov.br/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1679-49742019000100016&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Resumo  Objetivo: analisar a associação de variáveis ambientais com a incidência da leptospirose no município de Rio Branco, Acre, Brasil, de 2008 a 2013.  Métodos: estudo ecológico com associação das médias mensais de variáveis ambientais com as incidências mensais da leptospirose, pelos modelos generalizados autorregressivos e médias móveis.  Resultados: os aumentos nas médias mensais do nível do rio Acre e dos dias de precipitação no mês estiveram associados a um aumento de 7% (razão de taxas de incidência [RT] 1,07 - IC95% 1,02;1,14) e 4% (RT 1,04 - IC95% 1,00;1,07) nas incidência mensais da leptospirose, respectivamente; em 2013, a incidência de leptospirose no município foi 8 vezes maior que em 2008 (RT 8,00 - IC95% 4,07;15,71).  Conclusão: este estudo mostrou forte aumento nas incidências de leptospirose, ao longo dos anos estudados, e associações positivas com as variáveis ambientais.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen  Objetivo: analizar la asociación de variables ambientales con la incidencia de la leptospirosis en el municipio de Rio Branco, Acre, Brasil, de 2008 a 2013.  Métodos: en este estudio ecológico se asociaron los promedios mensuales de variables ambientales con las incidencias mensuales de la leptospirosis, por los modelos generalizados autorregresivos y promedios móviles.  Resultados: los aumentos en los promedios mensuales del nivel del río Acre y de los días de precipitación en el mes, estuvieron asociados a un aumento del 7% (razón de las tasas de incidencia [RT] 1,07 - IC95% 1,02;1,14) y del 4% (RT 1,04 - IC95% 1,00;1,07) en las incidencias mensuales de la leptospirosis, respectivamente; en 2013, la incidencia de leptospirosis en el municipio fue 8 veces mayor que en 2008 (RT 8,00 - IC95% 4,07;15,71).  Conclusión: este estudio mostró un fuerte aumento en las incidencias de leptospirosis, durante los años estudiados, y asociaciones positivas con las variables ambientales.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract  Objective: to analyze association between environmental variables and leptospirosis incidence in the municipality of Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil, 2008-2013.  Methods: this was an ecological study of association between monthly average environmental variables and monthly leptospirosis incidence, according to generalized autoregressive score models and moving averages.  Results: increases in the monthly average levels of the River Acre and days of precipitation per month were associated with a 7% increase (incidence rate ratio [RR] 1.07 - 95%CI 1.02;1.14) and a 4% increase (RR 1.04 - 95%CI 1,00;1,07) in the monthly incidence of leptospirosis, respectively; in 2013 leptospirosis incidence in the municipality was 8 times higher than in 2008 (RR 8.00 - 95%CI 4.07;15.71).  Conclusion: this study showed a strong increase in leptospirosis incidence, over the years studied, and positive associations with environmental variables.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Leptospirose]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Clima]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Saúde Ambiental]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Inundações]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Mudança Climática]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Leptospirosis]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Clima]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Salud Ambiental]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Inundaciones]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Leptospirosis]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Climate]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Environmental Health]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Floods]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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